A influência do e-commerce na movimentação de carga aérea no Brasil
- João Vitor de Alencar Amorim
- Hélio da Silva Queiroz Júnior
- Viviane Adriano Falcão
- Daniel Lopes Nader de Azevedo
Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE), PPGEC-UFPE / Coventry University
- Event
- XX SITRAER – Joinville, SC, Brasil, October 18–20, 2023
- Volume
- Proceedings of XX SITRAER – Air Transportation Symposium · ISSN 2448-1912
- Pages
- 199–210
- Publisher
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)
- Editors
- Renata Cavion, Rafael Gigena Cuenca
Abstract
E-commerce boosted demand for air freight, leading one of the largest e-commerce companies in Brazil to partner with national airlines to operate exclusive cargo planes. This paper analyzes the growth of e-commerce and its impact on the air cargo market, aiming at more efficient planning and to identify air cargo and e-commerce correlation. Using Linear Regression and data from the National Civil Aviation Agency and Neotrust, it was identified that mailbags, exchange rates, current monthly GDP, and Covid-19 cases are important factors to predict air cargo. Demand for air cargo is being driven by the growth of e-commerce, which requires airlines and airports to adapt. Considering the atypical behavior of the market due to the Covid-19 pandemic from 2020 to 2022, it is necessary to further investigate these factors, as well as the products registered as postal mail and specific regions.
Keywords: Air cargo; E-commerce; Linear regression; Linear model