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Anais do SITRAER · XX SITRAER 2023

Anais do SITRAER – XX SITRAER (2023)

Modelo de acidente por colisão com aves em aeronaves comerciais

  • Bruna Borges Azevedo
  • Michelle Carvalho Galvão da Silva Pinto Bandeira

Universidade Federal de Goiás – Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia · Engenharia de Transportes

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Evento
XX SITRAER – Joinville, SC, Brasil, 18 a 20 de outubro de 2023
Volume
Proceedings of XX SITRAER – Air Transportation Symposium · ISSN 2448-1912
Páginas
493–503
Editora
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)
Editores
Renata Cavion, Rafael Gigena Cuenca

Abstract

Air transport is one of the fastest growing markets in the world and one of the most relevant sectors for the development of the country’s economy. However, all this growth also leads to increased occurrence of accidents. Birdstrikes are a specific type of accident that has been a problem for aviation since its inception. Understanding the dangers or factors involved in this event is vital for adopting mitigating measures. Thus, the objective of this study is to develop an aviation accident model that is able to quantify the impact of the main factors involving collisions of commercial aircraft with birds in the landing and takeoff phases. The selected factors (time, cloud cover, species behavior, species mass, flight phase, AGL height, affected part of the aircraft) for the model construction are validated by the literature and in the model, configuration are divided into four categories (environment, bird, aircraft, and event). A survey of the main factors and occurrences in Brazil was carried out between 2011 and 2021. From the analysis, the "Birdstrike Aircraft Accident Model" was proposed, developed using the Bayesian Networks method. The model was represented graphically and the impact of the global - of the states that make up the selected factors - was obtained in scenarios with and without evidence. The states with the highest impacts are: (#1); landing phase as the most critical (#2); aircraft speed up to 80 knots (#3); engine as the second main part reached (#4); AGL height up to 500 feet (#5); radome as the third main part reached (#6); a bird (#7) mass up to 1500 grams (#8); nighttime (#9), clear sky (#10).

Keywords: Air Transport; Accident model; Birdstrike; Safety; Bayesian networks

Como citar

ABNT

AZEVEDO, Bruna Borges; BANDEIRA, Michelle Carvalho Galvão da Silva Pinto. Modelo de acidente por colisão com aves em aeronaves comerciais. In: SIMPÓSIO DE TRANSPORTE AÉREO, 20., 2023, Joinville. Anais [...]. Joinville: UFSC, 2023. p. 493-503. ISSN 2448-1912. Disponível em: https://sitraer-sbta.org/anais-2023-sit2264.html.

APA

Azevedo, B. B., & Bandeira, M. C. G. S. P. (2023). Modelo de acidente por colisão com aves em aeronaves comerciais. In R. Cavion, & R. G. Cuenca (Eds.), Proceedings of XX SITRAER – Air Transportation Symposium (pp. 493–503). UFSC. https://sitraer-sbta.org/anais-2023-sit2264.html

BibTeX
@inproceedings{azevedo2023modelo,
  author = {Azevedo, Bruna Borges and Bandeira, Michelle Carvalho Galvão da Silva Pinto},
  title = {{Modelo de acidente por colisão com aves em aeronaves comerciais}},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of XX SITRAER – Air Transportation Symposium},
  editor = {Cavion, Renata and Cuenca, Rafael Gigena},
  pages = {493--503},
  year = {2023},
  address = {Joinville, SC, Brasil},
  publisher = {Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC)},
  issn = {2448-1912},
  url = {https://sitraer-sbta.org/anais-2023-sit2264.html}
}